NCAR Ensemble Forecasts
Initialized:
Surface / Precip
Upper-Air
Severe
Winter
Hourly-Max
Domains
Surface Conditions
2-m Temperature / 10-m Wind
Ens Mean | Ens Max | Ens Min | Ens Spread | Postage Stamps
Ens Mean Sfc T Anomaly | Prob Sfc T < 32 F
2-m Dewpoint / 10-m Wind
Ens Mean | Ens Max | Ens Min | Ens Spread | Postage Stamps
Ens Mean Sfc Td Anomaly
Misc.
Ens Mean: Heat Index | Wind Chill | PBL Height | 2-m RH
Prob Visibility: < 3 mi | < 1 mi | < 0.25 mi
Ens Spread: Mean Sea-level Pressure
Postage Stamps: Equivalent Potential Temp. | 10-m wind
Ensemble Plumes Page
Precipitation
1-hr Precip
Prob Matched Mean | Ensemble Max
Neighbor Prob: > 0.01 in | > 0.25 in | > 0.5 in | > 1.0 in
6-hr Precip
Ens Mean | Ensemble Max | Ensemble Min
24-hr Precip
Ens Mean | Ensemble Max | Ensemble Min
Accum. Precip
Ens. Mean | Prob Matched Mean | Postage Stamps
Neighbor Prob: > 1.0 in | > 2.0 in | > 3.0 in | > 6.0 in | > 10.0 in
Reflectivity
Ensemble Max: Comp Refl | 1 km AGL Refl
Prob Match Mean: Comp Refl | 1 km AGL Refl
Neighborhood Prob > 40 dBZ: Comp Refl | 1 km AGL Refl
Paintball > 40 dBZ: Comp Refl | 1 km AGL Refl
Postage Stamps: Comp Refl | 1 km AGL Refl
Member Viewer: Comp Refl & UH
Ensemble Mean Fields
Wind/Height: 250 mb | 300 mb | 500 mb | 700 mb | 850 mb | 925 mb
Temperature: 250 mb | 300 mb | 500 mb | 700 mb | 850 mb | 925 mb
Relative Humidity: 700 mb | 850 mb | 925 mb
Dewpoint: 850 mb | 925 mb
Absolute Vorticity: 500mb
Potential Vorticity: 320K PV
Ensemble Spread Fields
Height: 250 mb | 300 mb | 500 mb | 700 mb | 850 mb | 925 mb
Wind Speed: 250 mb | 300 mb | 500 mb | 700 mb | 850 mb | 925 mb
Temperature: 250 mb | 300 mb | 500 mb | 700 mb | 850 mb | 925 mb
Dewpoint: 700 mb | 850 mb | 925 mb
Probabilities
Prob: 850 mb temperature < 0 C | 925 mb temperature < 0 C
Precipitable water
Ens mean | Postage stamps
Simulated Satellite
Member 1: Water Vapor | IR
Postage Stamps: Water Vapor | IR
Ensemble Soundings
Ensemble Sounding Viewer
Instability
Ens Mean: SBCAPE | MLCAPE | MUCAPE | Lifted Index
Ens Max: SBCAPE | MLCAPE
Prob SBCAPE: > 500 | > 1000 | > 2000 | > 3000
Prob MLCAPE: > 500 | > 1000 | > 2000 | > 3000
Postage Stamps: SBCAPE
LCL / LFC / BMIN / STP/ Echo tops
Ens Mean: LCL Height | LFC Height | Parcel BMin
Sig Tor Parameter (STP): Max | Mean | NEProb > 1 | NEProb > 3
Echo tops: Max | Mean | Prob matched mean
Neighborhood prob echo tops: > 30,000 ft | > 35,000 ft
Wind shear
Ens Mean: 0-1 km | 0-6 km
Ens Max: 0-1 km | 0-6 km
Storm-relative Helicity / Storm motion
Ens Mean: 0-1 km | 0-3 km
Ens Max: 0-1 km | 0-3 km
Prob 0-1 km SRH: > 100 | > 300
Prob 0-3 km SRH: > 200 | > 450
Ens Mean: Bunkers Storm Motion
Winter Precip
1-hr Accumulation
Dominant 1-hr Precipitation Type
1-hr Probability of Winter Precip
Snow: Ens Mean | Prob Match Mean | Stamp
Snow Neighbor Probs: > 1" | > 2" | > 3"
Freezing Rain: Ens Mean | Prob Match Mean | Stamp
6-hr Accumulation
Snow: Ens mean | Ens max
Freezing rain: Ens mean | Ens max
12-hr Accumulation
Snow: Ens mean | Ens max
Freezing rain: Ens mean | Ens max
24-hr Accumulation
Snow: Ens mean | Ens max
Freezing rain: Ens mean | Ens max
Running total accumulation
Snow: Ens mean | Prob Match Mean | Stamp
Snow Neighbor Probs: > 1" | > 3" | > 6" | > 12" | > 24"
Snow grid-point Probs: > 1" | > 3" | > 6" | > 12" | > 24"
Freezing rain: Ens mean | Prob Match Mean
Sleet: Ens mean | Prob Match Mean
Hourly-max Rotation
Ens Max: 2 - 5 km AGL UH | 0 - 3 km AGL UH
Ens Max: 1km AGL Vorticity
Paintball: UH > 50 | UH > 75 | UH > 100 | UH > 150
Neighbor Prob: UH > 50 | UH > 75 | UH > 100 | UH > 150
Hourly-max Updraft
Ensemble Max Updraft
Paintball: UP > 10 m/s | UP > 20 m/s
Neighbor Prob: UP > 10 m/s | UP > 20 m/s
Hourly-max Downdraft
Ensemble Max Downdraft
Paintball: DN > 5 m/s | DN > 10 m/s
Neighbor Prob: DN > 5 m/s | DN > 10 m/s
Hourly-max 10-m Wind Speed
Ensemble Max Wind Speed
Paintball: WS > 10 m/s | > 20 m/s | > 30 m/s
Neighbor Prob: WS > 10 m/s | > 20 m/s | > 30 m/s
Hourly-max Vert. Int. Graupel & Hail Size
Ens Max: Graupel | Thomp. Hail |