Kuchera, Evan, Rentschler, Scott, Creighton, Glenn,
Hamilton, Jeff, Rugg, Steve, Air Force Weather Agency, Offutt AFB, NE
The Air Force Weather
Agency implemented its Ensemble Prediction System (AFWEPS) on 28 March
2012. The mesoscale configuration
(MEPS) consists of 10 members of WRF-ARW with varied physics packages and
deterministic global model initial conditions. Forecasts include near-global coverage at 25 km to 144 hours
and regional 4 km coverage to 60 hours.
Features include storm-scale diagnostics, online dust, and tailored
ensemble products. Future
developments include a susbtantial expansion of intra-WRF diagnostics,
climatological applications, and on-demand data services.