2.4 Hurricane
WRF: 2017 operational
implementation and community support.
Liu,
Bin, IMSG Inc.
and National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration (NOAA)/Environmental Modeling Center (EMC), Avichal Mehra, NOAA/EMC, Zhan Zhang, IMSG Inc. and NOAA/EMC, Kathryn Newman, National Center for Atmospheric Research
(NCAR), Sergio Abarca,
IMSG Inc. and NOAA/EMC, Ligia Bernardet, NOAA/Global
Systems Division (GSD) and Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental
Sciences (CIRES), Mrinal Biswas,
Laurie Carson, NCAR, Jili Dong, IMSG Inc.
and NOAA/EMC, James Frimel, NOAA/GSD and Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere, Evelyn
Grell, NOAA/Physical
Sciences Division and CIRES, Evan Kalina, NOAA/GSD and CIRES, Hyun-Sook Kim, IMSG Inc.
and NOAA/EMC, Qingfu Liu, NOAA/EMC, Tim Marchok, NOAA/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory,
Zaizhong Ma IMSG
Inc. and NOAA/EMC, Jessica Meixner, Dmitry Sheinin, IMSG Inc.
and NOAA/EMC, Jason Sippel, NOAA/Hurricane Research Division, Biju
Thomas, University of Rhode Island, Mingjing Tong, Weiguo Wang, Keqin Wu, Banglin. Zhang, Lin Zhu,
IMSG Inc. and NOAA/EMC, and Vijay Tallapragada, NOAA/EMC
The Hurricane WRF model (HWRF) is one of the various applications
of the WRF model in NWS/NCEP operations, providing real-time forecasting for
all global tropical cyclones (http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/HWRF). Its main
customers include the National Hurricane Center, Central Pacific Hurricane
Center, and Joint Typhoon Warning Center, which use HWRF as numerical
guidance for tropical cyclone forecasting. Furthermore, HWRF is also run
across the globe by other countries' forecast centers, and by research
groups. HWRF is an air-sea coupled hurricane forecasting system, with
sophisticated vortex initialization and advanced data assimilation (DA)
processes, as well as post-processing (Unified Post-Processor) and vortex
tracking (GFDL Vortex Tracker) processes. Since 2016, operational HWRF also
provides hurricane sea surface wave forecasts by including the one-way
coupling capability to the WaveWatch III model
component. In this work, a summary of the upgrades and configuration for the
FY2017 operational HWRF implementation will be reported, including the system
and framework enhancements, initialization and DA improvements, as well as
physics advancements. Results from three-year retrospective tests show that
the combined impact of increased vertical levels, updated physics (e.g. the
scale-aware SAS convection and the Ferrier-Aligo
microphysics schemes), and DA advancements, lead to better track and
intensity forecasting, with substantially improved storm size and structure.
Additionally, an overview of the HWRF community support that is provided by
the Developmental Testbed Center
(http://www.dtcenter.org/HurrWRF/users) will be discussed. |