P25     anemos wind atlas improvements based on a new remodelling approach

 

Schneider, Martin, André Glücksmann, Axel Weiter, and Heinz-Theo Mengelkamp, anemos GmbH

 

1. anemos wind atlas

The anemos wind atlas for Germany represents a database containing long-term time series for all relevant atmospheric parameters. anemosuses the mesoscale and numeric weather prediction model system WRF3.7.1 for downscaling the reanalysis data.

First, MERRA-2 reanalysis data are used as input and driving data. Before the WRF main simulation starts, it is necessary to proof the model approach and parametrisations (e.g. planetary boundary scheme, surface pattern, radiation scheme) and optimize the model for the relevant parameters (wind speed and direction).

2. Wind atlas verification

The basic assignment after the simulation with WRF is the intensive verification of the anemos wind atlas for Germany with the aid of numerous internal measurements. On the one hand the verification of the wind atlas gives a dimension of prediction benignity and quality of the simulation output. On the other hand a systematic bias can be corrected in the last step; the Remodelling, to improve the quality of the anemos wind atlas. The verification analyses statistic parameters as mean value, Pearson correlation, bias, RMSE and extreme values (QQ-distribution). Furthermore anemos verifies the vertical profile, diurnal and annual cycle and frequency distribution with weibull parameters.

3. Remodelling improvements

The Remodelling is an optimization process for the wind speed. Scaling factors are developed with the help of numerous internal measurements and the subgrid topographic information (orography, roughness, etc.).

Finally the Remodelling improves the statistic parameters as well as the frequency distribution, diurnal and annual cycle.

4. References

[1] Skittides C. and Früh W.-G., 2015, A new Measure-Correlate-Predict Wind Resource Prediction method, ICREPQ'15



[2] Staffell I. and Pfenninger S., 2016, Using bias-corrected reanalysis to simulate current and future wind power output, Energy 114, 1224-1239.