P33     Impact of Cool Roofs and Rooftop Solar Photovoltaic deployment on Urban Energy Utilization in a Future Warm Climate

 

Tewari, M., The Weather Company, IBM, F. Salamanca, Arizona State University (ASU), A. Martilli, CIEMAT, Spain, Jimy Dudhia, National Center for Atmospheric Research, L. A. Treinish, The Weather Company, IBM and A. Mahalov, ASU

 

While Urban Heat Islands (UHIs) have been extensively studied, they have recently received greater attention due to their impact on the environmental, health and energy sectors.  Such impacts are exacerbated with a warmer, future climate requiring comprehensive assessment of mitigation strategies, especially related to urban energy demand.  In a recent paper by Tewari et al (2016), UHIs and their interaction with heat waves under current and future climate conditions were investigated.  Salamanca et al (2014, 2015) examined the effect of air conditioning (AC) systems on air temperature and their energy consumption in a semi-arid environment.  They found that explicit representation of waste heat from AC systems improved the modeling of 2m air temperature in comparison to local observations.  They also found that during the night, heat emitted from AC systems increased the mean 2m air temperature by more than 1 degree C for some urban locations.  Salamanca et al (2016) investigated summertime regional impacts of cool and rooftop solar photovoltaic (PV) deployment on near-surface air temperature and cooling energy demand in Phoenix and Tucson.  In the present study, two mitigation strategies are considered, namely cool roofs and rooftop photovoltaic deployment for future climate scenarios and urban expansion in Phoenix and Tucson using a 15-day period in June 2012.  The research questions we are addressing are:  (1) Are cool roofs in the future as effective as in the present climate in terms of increasing energy savings and reducing air temperature? (2) Is PV deployment a better mitigation strategy than cool roofs for these same considerations?

We will present the preliminary results of our study of impact of cooler building roofs and PV deployment as a mitigation strategy of near surface temperature and corresponding impact on energy usage under the current and future climate scenarios. For numerical experiments we use a regional atmospheric model WRF (Weather Research and Forecasting model) coupled with a multi-layer urban canopy model for a summer month (June 2012).  To represent the future climate state, CCSM4 data is used to generate the future climate conditions using Pseudo Global Warming (PGW) approach (Rasmussen et al. 2011).